As if this summer’s scorching weather prediction from the Old Farmer’s Almanac wasn’t enough to set us all—ahem—ablaze, hurricane season 2025 is also poised to set some records.
While hurricane season in the Atlantic Ocean typically runs from June 1 through November 30, some forecasting models indicate storms will be arriving early, and the forecast team at Atmospheric G2 and The Weather Company predict there is an “above average” U.S. landfall threat this year.
“We expect 19 storms to form in 2025, nine of which will become hurricanes and four of which will reach Category 3 status or stronger,” the release stated. The figures are consistent with a report released by hurricane researchers at Colorado State University earlier this year.
But take heart—reports also indicate that the Atlantic hurricane season may not be as active as 2024, which saw 11 hurricanes, five of which were Category 3+, and 18 named storms in total.
“Sea surface temperatures across the eastern and central Atlantic are generally warmer than normal, but not as warm as they were last year at this time,” a release from Colorado State reads. “We anticipate an above-average probability for major hurricanes making landfall along the continental United States coastline and in the Caribbean. As with all hurricane seasons, coastal residents are reminded that it only takes one hurricane making landfall to make it an active season. Thorough preparations should be made every season, regardless of predicted activity.”
Based on data from 1851 to 2022, NOAA’s Hurricane Research Division calculated an average of about one hurricane made landfall in the U.S. each year.